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Value and Opportunity

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Tiefgehende Value-Investing-Analysen eines deutschen Investors – auf Englisch. Einzelwerte, Spezialsituationen und Anlagestrategie.

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Some links 18/2026

vor 4 Tagen

Upslope Capital’s 6M letter including their Magnum Ice Cream pitch Dynasty Trust’s quarterly letter with a positive view on Travel stocks and a deep dive into EVT Ltd from Australia A very good Substack article on the different ways Private Equity Managers fund their own commitments Great article…

Fundsmith 6M letter – Active vs. passive, Momentum & Style change

vor 1 Woche

Management Summary: In this post, out of pure self-interest, I looked a little bit deeper into Terry Smith’s controversial 6M Fundsmith report and focus on the “Active vs. Passive” debate, how Fundsmith’s Buys and Sells look under my own Momentum scoring and some thoughts on changes in investment…

Some links 17/2026

vor 2 Wochen

Is the AI Boom just a giant Real Estate Bubble ? Wintergems with another “Danger Zone” portfolio check. 25 Short summaries of UK stock pitches The Bear Cave Substack with a Short report on Private Equity Asset Manager StepStone Group The Take-over wave of UK companies is expected to continue for…

Special Situation “Quickies”: EasyJet, Nagarro & BioNTech

vor 3 Wochen

Castlelake vs. Easyjet The UK is a fertile hunting ground for Private Equity these days. I had written about KKR wanting to buy DCC and EQT going for Intertek. Another potentially interesting story is Easyjet, where a US investor with the name Castlelake is trying to buy Easyjet and has increased…

Some links 16/2026

vor 3 Wochen

Whenever Ben Evans drops a new slide deck, you should read it (AI, AI & AI) Andrew Brown (Dynastie Capital) on Virtu Financial The always excellent Sector Stories Substack with a deep dive into Sika A superb summary of Elon Musk’s cult capitalism 10 Year anniversary letter of Value Shop Bireme A…

Hello Japan – A quick look at Berkshire’s new partner Tokio Marine

vor 4 Wochen

Background & Hello Japan There was a lot of noise around Berkshire’s 10 bn participation in the Alphabet capital increase. However, at the Berkshire AGM, Greg Able mostly singled out the investment of Berkshire into Japanese Insurer Tokio Marine as a great investment. He also mentioned explicitly…

Norma Group: Large Buyback Tender Special situation

vor 1 Monat

DISCLAIMER: This is not investment advice. The author might own, buy or sell shares without advance notice. The assumptions might be flawed or outright wrong. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!! Executive Summary: Norma Group, a previously PE owned German manufacturer of small connector parts, is…

Quick Updates: DCC (Intertek) & Wise

vor 1 Monat

DCC/Intertek As expected in my post from a month ago, KKR now came back with a better offer after DCC’s board rejected the initial of 58 GBP per share. This time, KKR offered 65,25 GBP in cash per share, plus a dividend of ~1,47 GBP per share to be received in July. This is a 12,5% increase (ex…

Updates: EVS Broadcast, Jensen Group, Wise & Installux

vor 1 Monat

EVS Broadcast Let’s start with the most disappointing update first: EVS Broadcast got slammed down after their Q1 trading statement: I think three items spooked investors, including myself: First, after confirming the guidance, both in the CEO and CFO statement, the press release suddenly contains…

“Space is the place” – SpaceX IPO, OHB SE and a Rocket Internet update

vor 2 Monaten

DISCLAIMER: This is not Investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!! A lot has happened since I published my Rocket Internet write-up from the end of January. Just as a refresher: I found Rocket Internet interesting, despite some Governance issues as the “sum of the part” value was…

DCC Plc Update – Starting the “Intertek Dance” ?

vor 2 Monaten

DISCLAIMER: This is not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Two weeks ago, I posted a short note on my portfolio company DCC which received a bid from KKR and a partner at 58 GBP per share, which I considered as too low. Yesterday, not too surprisingly, Bloomberg and Reuters published a…

Updates: STEF SA & Gerard Perrier SA

vor 2 Monaten

DISCLAIMER: This is not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!! Summary In this update post, I look at two of my French stock positions, STEF SA and Gerard Perrier. For STEF, I reduced my position by 1% of the portfolio because of problems with the integration of newly acquired…

Some links 15/2026

vor 2 Monaten

Ben Evans argues that OpenAI/ChatGPT has not developed a great business model (yet) A good rule of thumb to avoid AI slob: “Old” blogs/substacks usually don’t use AI to write, new blogs most likely do Some interesting stats on the K-shaped economy in the US Interesting research note from Panmure on…

Some links 14/2026

vor 2 Monaten

The Sector Stories Substack with the final post on Flavors & Fragrances including a lot of useful KPIs. According to this report from the recent Beijing Auto Show, the rest of the Carmaking World should be really worried A nice post on why aiming lower in your portfolio CAGR might be a good thing…

Notes & impressions from Omaha 2026

vor 2 Monaten

This year, after a 7 year break, I once again went to the US to attend the Berkshire AGM. Just for clarification: I don’t own Berkshire shares and unfortunately never did because I always thought that they were too expensive. Attendance:As mentioned elsewhere, attendance was clearly lower than in…

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